{"id":13945,"date":"2026-10-12T08:24:33","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T08:24:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/?p=13945"},"modified":"2026-10-12T08:24:34","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T08:24:34","slug":"el-nino-is-being-supersized-before-our-eyes-u-n-warns-what-that-means-for-the-weather-where-you-live-this-fall-and-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/?p=13945","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o is being &#8216;supersized before our eyes,&#8217; U.N. warns. What that means for the weather where you live this fall and winter."},"content":{"rendered":"<header class=\"mb-5 md:max-w-[750px] lg:mb-8\">\n<h1 class=\"mt-2 text-[1.625rem] font-bold leading-tight md:text-[2rem]\">El Ni\u00f1o is being &#8216;supersized before our eyes,&#8217; U.N. warns. What that means for the weather where you live this fall and winter.<\/h1>\n<h2 class=\"mt-2 text-lg font-light leading-5 md:text-xl\">The world is in &#8220;the danger zone of extreme weather,&#8221; the head of the U.N. has warned.<\/h2>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"flex items-start justify-between gap-3 flex-col lg:flex-row mt-3\">\n<div class=\"flex items-start\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full rounded-full object-cover object-center\" role=\"img\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/37b6fc9eae6a0eb0d6bd750a8e8b58d2d72d69632581bbb79451c61875d4668e\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefit_w80_h80%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fd29szjachogqwa.cloudfront.net%2Fimages%2Fuser-uploaded%2Fjasmine-andersson-new_9751.png\" alt=\"\" data-nimg=\"fill\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"inline-block\">\n<div class=\"text-sm font-semibold\">Jasmine Andersson<\/div>\n<div class=\"text-xs text-muted md:text-sm flex lg:block\">\n<div>Updated\u00a0<time datetime=\"2026-09-03T09:14:39.000Z\">Thu, September 3, 2026 at 4:14 PM GMT+7<\/time><\/div>\n<div class=\"text-nowrap before:mx-1.5 before:content-['\u00b7'] lg:before:mx-0 lg:before:content-none\">6 min read<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"flex items-center gap-2 mt-1 lg:mt-1.5\">\n<div class=\"relative\">\n<div id=\"add-to-google-tooltip-cd264b10-90d8-4fa7-8306-8d896bde9450\" class=\"absolute bottom-12 z-10 flex w-64 items-start gap-2 rounded bg-always-black p-3 text-xs font-semibold tracking-wide text-always-white transition-opacity duration-200 ease-in-out left-8 opacity-0\" role=\"tooltip\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n<div>Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google.<\/div>\n<div class=\"absolute -bottom-4 left-8 -translate-x-1\/2 border-8 border-transparent border-t-always-black\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Add Yahoo on Google<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"relative inline-flex h-[40px] items-center\"><\/div>\n<p><span class=\"relative inline-block leading-none\"><button class=\"inline-flex h-10 items-center justify-center rounded-full border border-accent px-3 py-2 transition-[background-color,box-shadow] duration-200 ease-in-out hover:bg-secondary hover:shadow-elevation-3 focus:bg-secondary focus:shadow-elevation-3\" data-ylk=\"elm:cmmt_open;elmt:cmnt;g:cd264b10-90d8-4fa7-8306-8d896bde9450;itc:1;pos:0;sec:view-cmnts-cta;slk:comments;t4:ctrl;\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;comment&quot;,&quot;yLinkElementType&quot;:&quot;comments_open&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;comments&quot;}\" aria-describedby=\"_r_2k_\"><span class=\"ml-2 font-medium text-primary\">3.3k<\/span><\/button><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"article-byline-sentinel-0\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div>\n<figure class=\"relative mb-4\">\n<div class=\"relative overflow-hidden -mx-4 md:mx-0 md:rounded-lg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"object-cover object-center\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/d8daa0a450c2904aa2fe96cfed6f2cd7733c2be99ebb5c10fc04fb6379962e0b\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefill_w976%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fd29szjachogqwa.cloudfront.net%2Fimages%2F2026-08%2Fac555e8c-065d-4c39-ae67-563fae936172\" alt=\"A detailed 3D rendering of planet Earth highlights the United States and Canada and surrounding oceans. Image map textures source: www.solarsystemscope.com\" data-nimg=\"fill\" \/><button class=\"group absolute bottom-0 size-full\" aria-label=\"View larger image\" data-ylk=\"elm:expand;itc:1;sec:image-lightbox;slk:lightbox-open;\"><\/button><\/div><figcaption class=\"relative text-sm mt-1 pr-2.5\">\n<div><span class=\"[&amp;_p]:inline\">Palm Desert in California, where El Ni\u00f1o could bring wetter-than-normal conditions.<\/span>\u00a0(Constantine Johnny via Getty Images)<\/div>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"max-w-screen-sm mx-auto\">\n<div data-article-body=\"true\" data-body-type=\"bodyblocks\">\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">El Ni\u00f1o is being &#8220;supersized before our eyes,&#8221; and the world is in &#8220;the danger zone of extreme weather,&#8221; the U.N. warned Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The latest data on the natural weather phenomenon indicates an &#8220;exceptionally high likelihood of nearly 100%&#8221; that the current El Ni\u00f1o will continue until February 2027.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The more powerful an El Ni\u00f1o, the greater the likelihood that it will significantly shift rainfall and temperature patterns worldwide and fuel extreme weather. NOAA has previously warned of a 69% chance that this El Ni\u00f1o will be the strongest in the past 70 years.<\/p>\n<div class=\"max-md:faux-bleed mb-4 bg-accent\/2 pb-5 md:invisible md:mb-0 md:h-0 md:overflow-hidden md:pb-0\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-nowrap justify-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">El Ni\u00f1o\u00a0<u>officially formed in June<\/u>\u00a0and, according to the World Meteorological Organization, is expected to continue over the fall and winter. Its peak is projected to be toward the end of this year.<\/p>\n<div class=\"mb-4\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;The science leaves no room for doubt: the planet is in uncharted waters, and those waters are heating up,&#8221; U.N. Secretary-General Ant\u00f3nio Guterres said in\u00a0<u>a statement<\/u>\u00a0on the climate phenomenon Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;Sea surface temperatures are rising, temperatures keep climbing, and the world is in the danger zone of extreme weather. The race now is between rising risks and our commitment to take climate action and protect people. We must win that race.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;We are already seeing disruption and devastation from droughts and floods and we expect these impacts to increase as El Ni\u00f1o intensifies,&#8221; added WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo.<\/p>\n<div class=\"max-md:faux-bleed mb-4 bg-accent\/2 pb-5 md:invisible md:mb-0 md:h-0 md:overflow-hidden md:pb-0\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-nowrap justify-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">In North America, El Ni\u00f1o tends to increase the likelihood of wetter conditions in the South, milder temperatures in the North and a quieter Atlantic hurricane season. Its most significant impact on U.S. weather is likely to emerge in the fall and peak during the winter.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"what-will-this-mean-for-the-weather-in-the-us\" class=\"mb-4 text-xl font-bold md:text-2xl\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">What will this mean for the weather in the U.S.?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The severity of El Ni\u00f1o&#8217;s impacts depends on where you live.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;El Ni\u00f1o tends to increase the storm track over the southern tier of the United States, increasing the chances of above-average precipitation,&#8221; Michelle L&#8217;Heureux, a physical scientist at NOAA&#8217;s Climate Prediction Center, told Yahoo News in August.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Broadly speaking, northern parts of the country could see warmer temperatures, while other regions may experience drier conditions.<\/p>\n<div class=\"max-md:faux-bleed mb-4 bg-accent\/2 pb-5 md:invisible md:mb-0 md:h-0 md:overflow-hidden md:pb-0\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-nowrap justify-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">L&#8217;Heureux said the southward shift in the storm track also leaves parts of the northern U.S. drier than normal and increases the likelihood of above-average temperatures.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"how-will-el-nino-impact-where-you-live\" class=\"mb-4 text-xl font-bold md:text-2xl\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">How will El Ni\u00f1o impact where you live?<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"relative mb-4\">\n<div class=\"relative\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"rounded-lg\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/c78e4ee74d10cfd881f11895a9877fbb8020a7d6da72ba6d91e9028466f10aba\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefill_w960%3Bquality_80%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fd29szjachogqwa.cloudfront.net%2Fimages%2Fuser-uploaded%2Fscreenshot-2026-08-06-at-100452_7934.png\" alt=\"Each El Ni\u00f1o event is unique in terms of its evolution, spatial pattern and impacts.\" width=\"960\" height=\"961\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><button class=\"group absolute bottom-0 size-full\" aria-label=\"View larger image\" data-ylk=\"elm:expand;itc:1;sec:image-lightbox;slk:lightbox-open;\"><\/button><\/div><figcaption class=\"relative text-sm mt-1 pr-2.5\">\n<div>\n<p>Each El Ni\u00f1o event is unique in terms of its evolution, spatial pattern and impacts.<\/p>\n<p>(World Meteorlogical Organization)<\/p><\/div>\n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3 id=\"the-south-and-the-gulf-coast\" class=\"mb-4 text-lg font-bold\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">The South and the Gulf Coast<\/h3>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A strong El Ni\u00f1o typically brings wetter and cooler-than-normal conditions from late fall through winter. Thunderstorm activity often increases along the Gulf Coast and in the lower Mississippi and Tennessee valleys. Spring and summer wildfire risk also tends to decrease across the Southeast.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"california-and-the-southwest\" class=\"mb-4 text-lg font-bold\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">California and the Southwest<\/h3>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">El Ni\u00f1o often brings wetter-than-normal conditions, especially during midwinter, although the signal is less consistent than in the Southeast. Increased precipitation can also reduce spring and summer wildfire risk across parts of the Southwest, including the Great Basin and southern Rockies.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"the-pacific-northwest-and-northern-rockies\" class=\"mb-4 text-lg font-bold\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">The Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies<\/h3>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A strong or very strong El Ni\u00f1o typically brings milder conditions and below-normal snowfall as Pacific air limits the buildup of cold air over western and central Canada. Parts of the Rockies can receive above-normal snowfall, while the northern U.S. tends to be warmer and drier, increasing spring wildfire risk in the Northern Rockies.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"tennessee-and-ohio-valleys\" class=\"mb-4 text-lg font-bold\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">Tennessee and Ohio Valleys<\/h3>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Winters are often drier than average, particularly across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. At the same time, El Ni\u00f1o can increase thunderstorm activity from the lower Mississippi Valley into the Tennessee Valley.<\/p>\n<h3 id=\"the-northeast\" class=\"mb-4 text-lg font-bold\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">The Northeast<\/h3>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A strong El Ni\u00f1o generally brings a milder winter with below-normal snowfall across much of the region. Despite the warmer pattern, the risk of powerful coastal storms, including nor&#8217;easters, can still be elevated.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"what-will-it-mean-for-storms\" class=\"mb-4 text-xl font-bold md:text-2xl\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">What will it mean for storms?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">A strong or very strong El Ni\u00f1o typically strengthens the subtropical jet stream during the fall and winter, steering more storms across the southern U.S. and suppressing Atlantic hurricane activity, according to Steven DiMartino, chair of the American Meteorological Society&#8217;s Board of Digital Meteorologists.<\/p>\n<div class=\"max-md:faux-bleed mb-4 bg-accent\/2 pb-5 md:invisible md:mb-0 md:h-0 md:overflow-hidden md:pb-0\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-nowrap justify-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;While you only need one hurricane to have significant impacts, a very strong El Ni\u00f1o produces significant wind shear in the tropical Atlantic,&#8221; he said. &#8220;That prevents most tropical waves from forming and threatening the U.S.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"mb-4\">\n<div id=\"recirc-cd264b10-90d8-4fa7-8306-8d896bde9450\" class=\"mb-4\">\n<div class=\"mb-3.5 flex items-center gap-2\">\n<h2 class=\"text-xl font-semibold leading-5\">More in News<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"grid gap-4 lg:grid-cols-2 lg:grid-rows-[auto_auto_1fr]\">\n<div class=\"relative flex lg:flex-col lg:row-span-3\">\n<div class=\"relative shrink-0 overflow-hidden mr-3 size-[110px] rounded-lg lg:h-[200px] lg:mb-3 lg:mr-0 lg:w-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full object-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/b876bc61c77378264d82318d9fec650e628d7826bfd29381914bbef63b2c55b4\/lightyear_networkapi\/smartcrop_w624_h400%3Bquality_95%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fcnn_articles_875%2Fc75d711310f4c54576f75af454d5f692.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><\/div>\n<div>\n<h3 class=\"mb-1.5 text-[1.0625rem] font-semibold lg:text-xl lg:leading-[1.625rem]\">Mexican musician, pregnant wife, child and nanny killed in grisly shootings<\/h3>\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-row items-center\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-row items-center min-w-0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mr-1.5 inline size-5 rounded-full\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/a6965cdaa6ccab6d6ff3df3e61ce471e178cbee7610b0eee332dc933e4ed1aa3\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefill_w40_h40%3Bquality_85%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fs.yimg.com%2Fos%2Fcreatr-uploaded-images%2F2023-06%2F1504f900-095d-11ee-af59-036f8ef2680e\" alt=\"\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><span class=\"truncate whitespace-nowrap label-m-regular text-tertiary\">CNN<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"flex shrink-0 items-center\"><span class=\"flex flex-row items-center whitespace-nowrap label-m-regular before:text-tertiary\/50 before:mx-1.5 before:content-['\/']  text-tertiary\">698<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"relative flex lg:border-b lg:pb-4 lg:border-b-tertiary\">\n<div class=\"relative shrink-0 overflow-hidden mr-3 size-[110px] rounded-lg lg:mr-3 lg:size-[80px]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full object-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/f3be07df3ee418b20a6731244c18afbc87561d632055936d309796eb13713977\/lightyear_networkapi\/smartcrop_w220_h220%3Bquality_95%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Freuters.com%2F86bc1fafdb779497a493f802ab37d331.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><\/div>\n<div>\n<h3 class=\"mb-1.5 text-[1.0625rem] font-semibold lg:text-[0.9375rem] lg:leading-[1.1875rem]\">Warsh&#8217;s Jackson Hole encore may put Trump&#8217;s inflation record under a microscope<\/h3>\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-row items-center\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-row items-center min-w-0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mr-1.5 inline size-5 rounded-full\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/01c5a4ce8a6f5f27d94a0e7982c5086b4652b0040a4ac83418c271b54074b0f6\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefill_w40_h40%3Bquality_85%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fs.yimg.com%2Fos%2Fcreatr-uploaded-images%2F2020-11%2F24ea2060-2fbd-11eb-b6fd-a6e16217c6e6\" alt=\"\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><span class=\"truncate whitespace-nowrap label-m-regular text-tertiary\">Reuters<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"flex shrink-0 items-center\"><span class=\"flex flex-row items-center whitespace-nowrap label-m-regular before:text-tertiary\/50 before:mx-1.5 before:content-['\/']  text-tertiary\">287<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"relative flex lg:border-b lg:pb-4 lg:border-b-tertiary\">\n<div class=\"relative shrink-0 overflow-hidden mr-3 size-[110px] rounded-lg lg:mr-3 lg:size-[80px]\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full object-cover\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/73efe83ea4f0590d4649cbafbd8a1ea778ed9c9fa3446a1aaaf344fad8f712a1\/lightyear_networkapi\/smartcrop_w220_h220%3Bquality_95%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fthe_hill_articles_341%2F1e450728cc1726961b55c16390d8900b.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><\/div>\n<div>\n<h3 class=\"mb-1.5 text-[1.0625rem] font-semibold lg:text-[0.9375rem] lg:leading-[1.1875rem]\">Fox News host says Trump made her husband Transportation secretary \u2018because that was all that\u2019s left\u2019<\/h3>\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-row items-center\">\n<div class=\"flex flex-row items-center min-w-0\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"mr-1.5 inline size-5 rounded-full\" src=\"https:\/\/s.yimg.com\/lo\/mysterio\/api\/3a941c233fe502a21e7233451d30b26633adcdfe6cab42a082eed5663b172c61\/lightyear_networkapi\/resizefill_w40_h40%3Bquality_85%3Bformat_webp\/https%3A%2F%2Fs.yimg.com%2Fos%2Fcreatr-uploaded-images%2F2021-11%2Faacb3290-4bb5-11ec-9dff-c91b8179f931\" alt=\"\" width=\"20\" height=\"20\" data-nimg=\"1\" \/><span class=\"truncate whitespace-nowrap label-m-regular text-tertiary\">The Hill<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"flex shrink-0 items-center\"><span class=\"flex flex-row items-center whitespace-nowrap label-m-regular before:text-tertiary\/50 before:mx-1.5 before:content-['\/']  text-tertiary\">882<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"relative w-full\">\n<div class=\"relative hidden md:flex\">\n<div class=\"bg-tertiary mr-3 size-[110px] rounded-lg lg:mr-3 lg:size-[80px]\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"grow\">\n<div class=\"mb-4 h-4 bg-tertiary\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mb-4 h-4 bg-tertiary w-2\/5\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"h-4 bg-tertiary w-2\/5\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">The biggest impacts from El Ni\u00f1o tend to occur in the winter months, though the effects may linger beyond the winter,&#8221; Nat Johnson, a physical scientist at NOAA&#8217;s Climate Prediction Center and lead of the El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation team, told Yahoo News.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Johnson added that during the following spring and summer, El Ni\u00f1o can increase or reduce the wildfire risk depending on where you live.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"how-strong-will-this-el-nino-be\" class=\"mb-4 text-xl font-bold md:text-2xl\" data-jump-link-target=\"\">How strong will this El Ni\u00f1o be?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Forecast models increasingly point to a powerful event. On Aug. 13, NOAA projected a\u00a0<u>90% chance<\/u>\u00a0of El Ni\u00f1o reaching &#8220;very strong&#8221; status, giving it a 69% chance of being &#8220;a historic event that would exceed the strength of previous El Ni\u00f1o events dating back to 1950.&#8221;<\/p>\n<div class=\"max-md:faux-bleed mb-4 bg-accent\/2 pb-5 md:invisible md:mb-0 md:h-0 md:overflow-hidden md:pb-0\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-nowrap justify-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Scientists declare an El Ni\u00f1o has formed when temperatures in a key stretch of the central Pacific Ocean (known as &#8220;Ni\u00f1o 3.4&#8221;) run 0.5\u00b0C above average for several consecutive months, according to NOAA.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">If temperatures are 0.5\u00b0C above normal on average, an El Ni\u00f1o is considered weak; 1\u00b0C, moderate; 1.5\u00b0C, strong; and 2\u00b0C, very strong.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">According to the WMO&#8217;s findings released on Sept. 3, weekly sea surface temperatures in the Ni\u00f1o 3.4 region between late July and mid-August ranged from approximately 2.2\u00b0C to 2.6\u00b0C above average. In some areas, subsurface ocean temperatures were more than 8\u00b0C above average during July and early August, indicating continued intensification.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\"><u>Berkeley Earth<\/u>, a nonprofit climate research group, said in an analysis released Aug. 13 that it projected a peak near 4\u00b0C around November, which would make it the strongest El Ni\u00f1o in the observational record.<\/p>\n<div class=\"max-md:faux-bleed mb-4 bg-accent\/2 pb-5 md:invisible md:mb-0 md:h-0 md:overflow-hidden md:pb-0\">\n<div class=\"flex w-full flex-nowrap justify-center\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">It also noted that July 2026 was provisionally the second-warmest July on record, with extreme weather events recorded worldwide.&#8221;Extreme heat and wildfires affected much of the Northern Hemisphere. Western Europe recorded its hottest June\u2013July period on record, with major wildfires across the Mediterranean, while Canada saw extensive wildfire activity,&#8221; Berkeley Earth said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">Whether 2026 becomes the hottest year on record remains to be seen, but 2027 is far more likely to break the previous record. As Berkeley Earth climate scientist Zeke Hausfather told the Associated Press in August, &#8220;It&#8217;s going to keep getting worse.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p class=\"mb-4 text-lg md:leading-8 break-words\">&#8220;The current trends and developments support that this El Ni\u00f1o will surpass the 1997-98 and 2015-16 events, which are considered the strongest on record,&#8221; DiMartino told Yahoo News. &#8220;Given that El Ni\u00f1o&#8217;s peak is in late November, the potential to rise by as much as 3\u00b0C to 4\u00b0C is becoming increasingly likely.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Ni\u00f1o is being &#8216;supersized before our eyes,&#8217; U.N. warns. What that means for the weather where you live this fall and winter. The world is in &#8220;the danger zone of extreme weather,&#8221; the head of the U.N. has warned. Jasmine Andersson Updated\u00a0Thu, September 3, 2026 at 4:14 PM GMT+7 6 min read Add Yahoo &#8230; <a title=\"El Ni\u00f1o is being &#8216;supersized before our eyes,&#8217; U.N. warns. What that means for the weather where you live this fall and winter.\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/?p=13945\" aria-label=\"Read more about El Ni\u00f1o is being &#8216;supersized before our eyes,&#8217; U.N. warns. What that means for the weather where you live this fall and winter.\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13951,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13945","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-duggar-bates"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13945","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13945"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13945\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13950,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13945\/revisions\/13950"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13951"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13945"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13945"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foxnews.znicely.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13945"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}